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Geneseo Republic - Geneseo, IL
Beau Dodson's weather analysis for the southern Illinois and western Kentucky area.
December 4th-8th: Calm Wednesday and Thursday - then unsettled
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By Beau Dodson
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Dec. 5, 2012 12:01 a.m.

December 5th-8th:



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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...



Wednesday:  Some patches of morning fog - becoming mostly sunny.

Highs: 56-62 degree range 

Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph

Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:
  0" 

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 



Wednesday night:  Mostly clear and cool.
Lows: in the lower to middle 30s

Wind: East winds at 5 mph

Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals: 0"


Confidence in this forecast is very high

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Thursday: An increase in clouds - after some morning sunshine
Highs:  In the 55-60 degree range

Wind:  Southeast winds at 5-10 mph

Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is high

 

Thursday night: Cloudy with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm - mainly late.
Lows: in the upper 40s and lower 50s

Wind:  South winds at 5-10 mph

Precipitation probability - 20%-40% |  Rainfall totals: scattered 0.10"-0.25"


Confidence in this forecast is high 



Friday
- Mostly cloudy sky conditions - a chance for a few showers. 

Highs:  in the lower to middle 60s 

Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph

Precipitation probability - 20%-40% |  Rainfall totals:  0.10"


Confidence in this forecast is high



Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here








This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western                       Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee


HEADLINES:  Fairly calm weather for your Wednesday and Thursday.  We will be in between storm systems.  


The next storm system approaches the region on Thursday night and Friday.  This will usher in more clouds and a chance for a few more showers.  I can't rule out some lightning and thunder Thursday night and Friday - not overly concerned about severe weather.

We will find ourselves in an unsettled weather pattern through the weekend and into next week.   That means additional showers and thunderstorms chances Friday night right on into Sunday night.  Several periods of rain.

Models are all over the place with the placement of a potentially stronger storm system towards the beginning of next week (Sunday into Tuesday).  Could be a better chance for showers and thunderstorms if the storm materializes.  We need the rain.

 



    





No significant concerns for snow or severe weather.






No major concerns


 


No wild cards in this forecast!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 




Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.  Click here to join


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The forecast for severe or extreme weather


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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.

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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   


 

Wednesday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 


Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  No



Thursday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.


Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out on Thursday night or Friday morning



Friday:  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  Perhaps a rumble of thunder during the morning hours



For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  



To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here


 



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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Wednesday - No  

Thursday - No

Friday - No

Saturday - No 



To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here

To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here

All other states- Click Here


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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.

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To view the interactive warning  map - click here.












What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days




No significant snow or ice in the current forecast!
 



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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here




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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.




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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !

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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.




We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---

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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU

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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.





Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 




 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image


 



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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 

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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 

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To view recent records that have been broken - click here 

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1.  Drought conditions continue over our region.  We desperately need above normal rainfall.  It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.  


  

Latest drought information:

DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 




Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here




If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.










Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson

McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 

To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here

To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here

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All other states- Click Here

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site

http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site

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