Rain will come to an end this morning - the rest of the day should be dry. Highs will be cooler today vs yesterday. Expect highs in the 45-50 degree range. Lows tonight will be in the 20s. Highs on Saturday will be near 60!
Saturday will be dry during the day - rain chances will increase a bit on Saturday night. Rain and thunderstorm chances will dramatically increase on Sunday.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will move west to east over our region on Sunday.
A strong area of low pressure will develop in the Midwest on Saturday and quickly move northeast into Minnesota on Sunday. This will drag a cold front into our region.
Showers and a line of thunderstorms will develop on Sunday - along the cold front This line will push completely through our region on Sunday afternoon. Locally heavy rain will be possible. Rainfall totals should be in the 0.50"-1.00" range.
Severe weather concerns? There will be a chance for a few severe thunderstorms with this system.
The one thing that holds me back from forecasting a lot of severe weather are the dew points. Dew points may only reach 50-55 degrees. I like to see 55-60 when forecasting severe storms. This is a marginal setup. Wind fields will be strong. Instability will be lacking.
If a line of thunderstorms does form then a few reports of damaging wind might occur. I can't rule out an isolated tornado. Let's monitor the next 24 hours and I will update again on Friday night (late) and Saturday.
Here is the future-cast radar from wright-weather.com - this is the NAM model showing you what the radar might look like early Sunday afternoon.
A winter storm may develop on Tuesday night/Wednesday across the southern United States and move east/northeast into the southeast states. This storm system may track further south than recent events - I am not confident that it will impact our region. I am giving it a 2 in 10 chance for bringing snow into our local region. Not the best chance. But, I will continue to monitor it.
A winter storm may develop on Tuesday night/Wednesday across the southern United States and move east/northeast into the southeast states. This storm system may track further south than recent events - I am not confident that it will impact our region. I am giving it a 2 in 10 chance for bringing snow into our local region. Not the best chance. But, I will continue to monitor it.
It isn't too soon to do a snow dance. If you are a snow fan - then dance away
This is the kind of pattern that favors significant winter storms for our region. It is just a matter of getting the pieces of energy to phase correctly. The next 2-3 weeks will be quite interesting to forecast. It could be an all or nothing type pattern. Watch the southern storm tracks.
